The Toronto Maple Leafs earned a much-needed win over the Calgary Flames on Monday evening, however that was only a tiny step in the correct path for a staff that has been in a funk because the starting of March.
Toronto is 3-4-1 in its final eight contests and all 4 of its regulation losses in that span got here towards groups at the moment in a playoff place.
Much more damning is that the Leafs had been outscored, 19-10, in these 4 contests.
The Leafs welcome the red-hot Colorado Avalanche to Scotiabank Area on Wednesday evening. The Avs are a -120 favourite on the time of writing.
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Avalanche vs. Maple Leafs prediction
Whereas the Leafs have fallen flat this month, Avalanche are working rampant. The Avs are 8-0-1 of their final 9 contests and boast a +22 objective distinction (40 GF, 18 GA) in that span.
Colorado’s offensive chops have by no means been in query, however seeing the Avs excel in their very own finish of the ice has caught the eye of the betting market.
The Avalanche are all the way down to +900 to win the Stanley Cup at Fanatics Sportsbook.
The numbers again up the market’s confidence in Colorado. This isn’t some flukey stretch due to a sizzling capturing share or dominant goaltending. The Avs personal the third-best objective distinction within the NHL during the last 10 video games and their 55% expected-goals price can be third within the circuit.
Avalanche vs. Maple Leafs decide
Whereas Colorado’s statistical profile suggests there’s an opportunity it continues to enhance, Toronto’s paints the alternative image.
The Leafs have sufficient high-end expertise to get away with a mediocre course of on some nights, however towards the Avalanche, it’s a distinct story.
Toronto ranks final within the NHL in expected-goals price over its final 10 video games and the Leafs are giving up a mean of two extra high-danger probabilities per recreation at 5-on-5 than they’re creating.
Betting on the NHL?
That simply gained’t fly towards the red-hot Avs.
The Leafs seemed like a contender a number of months in the past, and it looks like the betting market is giving them an excessive amount of credit score for the way they performed for the primary 50 video games of the marketing campaign and never the place their recreation is at now.
That places first rate worth on Colorado as a slight highway favourite Wednesday night.
The Choose: Avalanche -125 or higher (Fanatics)
Assume the Avs can get two factors in Toronto on Wednesday?
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Why Belief New York Submit Betting
Michael Leboff is a long-suffering Islanders fan, however a long-profiting sports activities bettor with 10 years of expertise within the playing business. He loves utilizing recreation principle to assist punters win bracket swimming pools, discover lengthy pictures, and discover ways to beat the market in mainstream and area of interest sports activities.
