Capitals vs Oilers Prediction, Odds & Beginning Goalies (Jan. 21)

• The Washington Capitals (31-10-5) go to the Edmonton Oilers (29-14-3) on Tuesday evening
• The Oilers might be with out Connor McDavid in opposition to Alex Ovechkin and the Caps
• Learn our Capitals vs Oilers prediction and choose for this matchup on January 21, 2025

The NHL-leading Washington Capitals (31-10-5) head north of the border to battle the Edmonton Oilers (29-14-3) at Rogers Place on Tuesday, January 21, 2025. Puck drop is scheduled for 9:00 PM Jap Time, with the sport televised on Sportsnet and MNMT.

Edmonton is a -150 residence favourite, whereas the over/underneath is ready at 5.5 targets. Will the Oilers show the oddsmakers proper and defend residence ice with out suspended famous person Connor McDavid?

Let’s analyze this East tilt and make our Capitals vs Oilers prediction.

Capitals vs Oilers Prediction

I’m taking the Oilers to get the job carried out on residence ice, even with out McDavid within the lineup. The betting market has undervalued Edmonton on this spot on account of McDavid’s three-game ban and the general public closely backing Washington.

Nonetheless, the Oilers aren’t any one-trick pony, having posted a 22-27-10 report with out McDavid over time. With the likes of Leon Draisaitl, Zach Hyman, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins and extra, they nonetheless have the firepower to mild the lamp. Edmonton can also be extremely motivated to bounce again from a tricky loss to the rival Canucks that snapped their four-game win streak.

Sharp cash is pouring in on the Oilers as effectively, transferring the road from Edmonton -140 to -150 regardless of McDavid’s absence and the general public backing the Caps. The clever guys clearly see worth on the Oilers at residence in opposition to a Washington crew that’s primed for regression.

Whereas the Capitals personal the NHL’s greatest report, a deeper have a look at their final 10 video games reveals poor possession numbers (47.31% Corsi For, 47.25% Fenwick For), being outshot (44.62% Shot Share), and subpar Scoring Likelihood (46.82%) and Excessive-Hazard Likelihood (47.53%) shares. Most concerningly, Washington has an unsustainably excessive 1.057 PDO, pushed by an inflated 10.34% capturing share and 95.37% save share.

The Caps have rode a PDO bender and unimaginable goaltending from Logan Thompson up to now, however it looks like smoke and mirrors in comparison with the rock stable underlying metrics boasted by Edmonton. The Oilers ought to management play at 5v5.

Lastly, Edmonton’s stellar 15-7-1 residence report and rowdy Rogers Place crowd can’t be neglected. I’m grabbing the Oilers moneyline at an honest -150 worth earlier than it steams any greater. Edmonton has the sting in superior stats, scoring depth, motivation and residential ice to prevail even with out their captain. Lay the juice on the Oil.

Tuesday NHL Choose:

• Oilers Moneyline (-140 at Bet99)

Capitals vs Oilers Odds

The Oilers are -140 moneyline favorites to return out on high. A profitable $140 wager on Edmonton would revenue $100. The Capitals are +120 underdogs – a $100 wager would internet $120.

Edmonton is +165 to cowl -1.5 targets, whereas Washington is -236 to remain inside 1.5 targets. The over/underneath is ready at a modest 5.5 targets, with the over barely favored at -115 and the underneath at -105.

Odds as of Jan. 21, at Bet99. See our Bet99 evaluate web page for present affords.

Projected Beginning Goalies

At first look, Thompson has a statistical benefit over Skinner. The Caps netminder has been within the Vezina Trophy dialog all season lengthy and enters on an unimaginable run. Nonetheless, we already touched on Washington’s unsustainable crew save share of 95.37%. Some cracks are starting to indicate.

In the meantime, Skinner has been very stable in his personal proper with an 18-10-3 report. The Oilers enable the fewest targets per sport (2.43) and photographs per sport (27.4) within the league, which makes Skinner’s job a lot simpler. In addition they kill penalties at a powerful 84.2% clip (third).

The Oil have too many edges of their favor to cross up at this worth. Belief Edmonton’s 5v5 play, depth and vigorous crowd to hold them sans McDavid. The Oilers moneyline is the play.