Up to date Odds for Alex Ovechkin to Break Objective Document in 2024-25

Ovi is presently averaging 0.71 targets per recreation this season (29 targets in 41 video games), the very best fee of his profession. If he maintains this tempo over the remaining 25 video games, he’d rating roughly 18 targets, simply surpassing Gretzky’s 894 (882 + 18 = 900).

Even at his profession common of 0.60 targets per recreation (882 targets in 1,467 video games), he’d internet 15 targets in 25 video games, placing him at 897—sufficient to interrupt the document.

When Will Ovechkin Break the Document?

If Ovi maintains his present season tempo (0.71 targets/recreation), he would break the document on April 4th at residence in opposition to the Chicago Blackhawks. If he regressed and began producing at his profession tempo (0.60), he’d break the document on April 12, 2025, on the highway in opposition to the Columbus Blue Jackets.

The minimal tempo Ovi wants is 0.52 targets per recreation, a threshold he’s exceeded in most of his 20 NHL seasons thus far. If he scores precisely 13 targets, he’d break the document within the closing recreation, April 17, 2025, on the highway in opposition to the Pittsburgh Penguins.

If you wish to purchase into the ‘Hollywood’ narrative, there can be no extra becoming manner than for Ovi to interrupt the document within the closing recreation. He got here into the league with Sidney Crosby, so it could be storybook if he made historical past 20 years later along with his rival and fellow celebrity reverse him.

Nonetheless, I don’t see motive to consider Ovi received’t get there earlier than the season’s closing recreation. The Capitals are main the NHL in targets per recreation, and Ovi has solely missed 75 video games in his whole profession attributable to damage. He’s going to proceed getting golden scoring alternatives with linemates like Dylan Strome feeding him pucks.

Odds for the Crew Ovechkin Scores Objective #895 In opposition to

The Blue Jackets are the betting favorites at +550 to be the group Ovi scores the historic purpose in opposition to. They’re removed from a lock, nonetheless, priced at simply 15% implied chance.

A key motive I’m bullish on Ovechkin breaking the document sooner reasonably than later is NHL power of schedule. The Caps have the fourth-easiest remaining power of schedule, in response to Tankathon.com.

I like the worth on the Islanders at +675. He’s scored the fifth-most targets in opposition to them in his profession, and the Apr. 15 contest is his final recreation earlier than a 4-day break heading into the ultimate stretch. To not point out, it’s the one true remaining afternoon recreation on Washington’s schedule. Ovechkin has excelled in day video games this yr, tallying seven targets and 6 assists in eight such appearances.