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Home Pacific Division

So You’re Telling Me There’s a Likelihood – A Story of Mediocrity and Hope – The Morning Skate

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April 10, 2025
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So You’re Telling Me There’s a Likelihood – A Story of Mediocrity and Hope – The Morning Skate
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Welcome to Calgary, Alberta. The gateway to the Rocky Mountains, the house of The Best Outside Present on Earth, and the place the place hopes and desires keep alive method too lengthy, and crash method too arduous.

In a picturesque land that has by no means had a primary general decide, but additionally hasn’t received a cup in my lifetime, we don’t stop on our squad. I’ll be damned if I say that’s not a cool vibe late in an nearly misplaced season; however clinging to hope is method higher than being a Buffalo fan (stray, I’m sorry, you don’t deserve that).

To begin the 12 months, the Flames as soon as once more advised us “to hell with a rebuild, we’re gonna grind out scrappy Ws and see what we are able to do”. Scorching begin, cooled off, danced across the playoff image cutoff the whole season. We went into the Commerce Deadline questioning if we should always purchase or promote, and in some way stayed the course, on a high-speed rocketship to the center as soon as extra.

Now that each one sounds fairly doom and gloom, however truthfully it’s been a wild season to see unfold from up shut. Tied to a primary spherical decide that we lose if we’re too good, however on the skin trying into the playoffs as a result of we’re not adequate. The Calgary Flames sit because the (as of proper this second) twenty ninth ranked scoring workforce, with a bottom-ten penalty kill, with one skater over 60 factors via recreation 77. Regardless of this, they’ve leaned on large goaltending from Calder Trophy Candidate Dustin Wolf and the spirit of an underdog to grind their method right into a spot the place, with the correct bounces, they will sneak into the postseason. Traditionally, groups THIS unhealthy at discovering the again of the web normally discover themselves discussing draft lottery standing and bringing in younger weapons to get some NHL appears to be like method sooner than this level within the season. However regardless of having a -24.02 GF vs. Anticipated, this unbelievable rookie season from Wolf additionally sees a -24.6 GA vs. Anticipated. Simplified, they stink at scoring however Wolf is gnarly at maintaining pucks out of the web.

It’s been clear from the beginning that if this squad was going to achieve success, they have been going to must be absolute DAWGS to do it, as a result of on paper we weren’t destined to be. They took the underdog mentality, they ran with it. As a fan of a squad with middling, rebuild adjoining expectations, there’s nothing extra you may ask for.

Now, let’s get into the meat and potatoes right here. How can we do it? How do the Calgary Flames make the unimaginable occur and safe Dustin Wolf the true declare to the Calder Trophy? Fortunately, I’ve a graph. Ryan Pike flaunted his Microsoft Excel proficiency to offer us essentially the most life like pathway into the postseason, overtaking the Wild if they provide us the prospect to.

Behold, a crude chart of outcomes within the #Flames/Wild race for the final playoff spot!

Pink outcomes are CGY in playoffs. Inexperienced outcomes are MIN. Black squares are inconceivable outcomes due to the head-to-head recreation on 4/11. pic.twitter.com/J7pGgpIXmR

— Ryan Pike (@RyanNPike) April 7, 2025

Inexperienced means the Wild get in, pink, the Flames. It’s vital to notice that we now have secured one of many required Ws to maintain that little chunk of pink Excel squares alive and nicely, as this was posted previous to the Flames win over San Jose on Monday. The more serious the Wild do and the higher we do, (together with a head-to-head win over Minnesota, as a result of that 4-point swing will seemingly be the distinction by hook or by crook) the higher our probabilities get every day that passes. Now that is the easier, extra logical model, however I wouldn’t be a Flames fan if I didn’t instantly pivot away from what’s life like, and share with you all of the pathway that we really want.

That pathway is, after all, how can the Hockey Gods make it in order that Calgary is in, and Edmonton is out? As soon as extra, individuals smarter than me have sorted it out, and I have to share with you their glad tidings and arduous work. Test this out.

Whereas the web has been break up in two between “It’s not value it, deliver sooner or later studs and allow them to get a style of NHL motion” and “Go away these children parked within the press field till there’s a bit of ‘e’ beside our identify within the standings”, the fervour within the C of Pink proper now’s simple. To these of you who’ve come to phrases with the issue of the highway forward, I get it, Zayne Parekh simply had an unbelievable season that noticed his identify climb up an inventory over Bobby Orr’s identify, we get King Costco again subsequent 12 months, our Invoice Masterson Trophy nominee, and Dustin Wolf with a full season beneath his belt can solely get even higher with expertise and time. Nevertheless I’d prefer to give you the next visible.

Image it now, mid-Could, the 4th Alberta Winter has lastly come to an finish, the solar is brilliant and beaming down on seventeenth Avenue. The patio at Nationwide is packed to the gills, the Ship and Anchor is buzzin’ like a beehive, there’s a military of Flames jerseys and unbelievable vibes flooding your each sense. Chilly pints, sizzling wings, the crisp breeze down The Pink Mile because the Flames defy the percentages yet one more time.

Would you relatively demand us shut it down, let the children play, and roll over and die, watching our first rounder fall limply into the ready fingers of the Montreal Canadiens? Or would you relatively the lads stare destiny within the face yet one more goddamn time and provides us that lovely reward?

No matter occurs, we should always by no means have even been having this little chat. If Wolf didn’t persistently outperform our workforce’s expectations, we wouldn’t be. However we’re, and it’s fuckin’ magnificent. Flames Eternally, and right here we go.





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